Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 96010.503751 101211.369369 106408.055935 111986.712802 117802.357062 123682.774135 130074.548697
2025-09-14 87760.726957 95742.654480 103937.378448 112968.807153 122632.250543 132651.119354 143812.873440
2025-09-21 81318.593151 91168.710626 101500.690799 113124.428173 125815.019766 139227.542760 154452.396495
2025-09-28 76336.138848 87573.012991 99573.509239 113307.458079 128553.447884 144921.911899 163786.635133
2025-10-05 73362.335215 85843.784043 99380.610658 115100.249161 132797.696805 152050.495096 174522.672256
2025-10-12 70679.565514 84197.408337 99063.333419 116553.061360 136491.222153 158436.324696 184338.482200
2025-10-19 67947.193913 82300.450219 98289.677970 117328.546568 139283.112847 163706.209277 192826.704713
2025-10-26 65154.264499 80169.833709 97101.297911 117490.912620 141256.240294 167956.505741 200091.924506
2025-11-02 62819.256537 78446.708547 96269.483343 117959.065436 143491.622656 172440.240413 207582.920175
2025-11-09 60427.538682 76541.687087 95121.307219 117960.257498 145101.034527 176140.417666 214128.953578
2025-11-16 58885.724619 75575.842089 95014.134004 119129.843738 148036.257370 181356.179470 222437.711385
2025-11-23 56781.311188 73840.182304 93908.486260 119034.968139 149411.416525 184698.818024 228522.816235
2025-11-30 55618.461924 73230.709690 94146.622087 120560.039560 152747.923783 190410.585571 237499.909856
2025-12-07 54257.112930 72323.201602 93979.662814 121560.731849 155435.909709 195354.159306 245592.282670
2025-12-14 52560.441664 70932.848601 93163.735302 121716.456128 157059.198123 198999.634431 252126.054284
2025-12-21 50985.331847 69638.647053 92415.335336 121908.646426 158690.339777 202632.729266 258641.352177
2025-12-28 50321.604233 69476.189069 93055.704896 123811.365080 162423.627735 208828.415261 268300.541072
2026-01-04 49533.206568 69119.427716 93424.236526 125353.301264 165701.182012 214474.829791 277317.658118
2026-01-11 48462.502494 68357.186135 93245.196496 126176.307544 168063.699880 218993.858653 284965.899961
2026-01-18 47157.168892 67245.112603 92581.096865 126348.615435 169583.129666 222458.476553 291315.834701
2026-01-25 46057.329651 66369.975914 92191.377915 126845.434076 171494.431318 226403.619051 298272.238808
2026-02-01 44798.173486 65244.144320 91441.724072 126846.698828 172751.116067 229518.346295 304194.754637
2026-02-08 44114.169462 64870.451250 91657.373770 128087.811446 175590.498149 234628.095066 312643.592209